Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.020747 0.022465 0.024258 0.026269 0.028464 0.030788 0.033437
2025-08-24 0.017452 0.019862 0.022515 0.025658 0.029288 0.033354 0.038266
2025-08-31 0.015450 0.018240 0.021438 0.025383 0.030136 0.035694 0.042715
2025-09-07 0.014008 0.017035 0.020616 0.025183 0.030879 0.037780 0.046825
2025-09-14 0.012899 0.016087 0.019963 0.025050 0.031586 0.039754 0.050810
2025-09-21 0.011903 0.015175 0.019252 0.024738 0.031976 0.041271 0.054223
2025-09-28 0.011226 0.014605 0.018909 0.024835 0.032849 0.043405 0.058517
2025-10-05 0.010566 0.014001 0.018465 0.024742 0.033426 0.045134 0.062319
2025-10-12 0.010056 0.013556 0.018191 0.024841 0.034237 0.047190 0.066660
2025-10-19 0.009593 0.013142 0.017925 0.024916 0.034995 0.049184 0.070999
2025-10-26 0.009120 0.012681 0.017561 0.024819 0.035482 0.050791 0.074836
2025-11-02 0.008719 0.012297 0.017278 0.024811 0.036079 0.052568 0.079004
2025-11-09 0.008209 0.011746 0.016749 0.024445 0.036170 0.053663 0.082310
2025-11-16 0.007719 0.011200 0.016200 0.024020 0.036149 0.054593 0.085430
2025-11-23 0.007323 0.010770 0.015797 0.023786 0.036396 0.055933 0.089272
2025-11-30 0.006973 0.010390 0.015444 0.023602 0.036701 0.057363 0.093330
2025-12-07 0.006666 0.010057 0.015144 0.023479 0.037083 0.058923 0.097685
2025-12-14 0.006341 0.009681 0.014755 0.023188 0.037169 0.059989 0.101247
2025-12-21 0.006129 0.009468 0.014610 0.023279 0.037879 0.062118 0.106777
2025-12-28 0.005891 0.009203 0.014367 0.023193 0.038281 0.063739 0.111495
2026-01-04 0.005707 0.009015 0.014238 0.023284 0.038984 0.065905 0.117327
2026-01-11 0.005530 0.008829 0.014102 0.023354 0.039647 0.068029 0.123209
2026-01-18 0.005331 0.008599 0.013880 0.023264 0.040019 0.069647 0.128231